Prediction record

Hitmarkets

Bitcoin will sustainably reach and hold its previous all-time high (~$20,000) by the end of 2021

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Hitmarkets

I think sustainably it'll get to the previous all-time high in you know at the end of 2021 where it can hold 20k

Bitcoin will sustainably reach and hold its previous all-time high (~$20,000) by the end of 2021

Made on
2020-06-24
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2021-12-31

Bitcoin trades at or above its prior all-time high (~$20,000) and holds it as support by 2021-12-31.

Criterion: BTC at/above prior ATH (~$20k) AND holds it as support by 2021-12-31. Both parts met — BTC was multiples above $20k all year and its 2021 low (~$28.8k) stayed above $20k, so $20k held as support. resolved_on set to 2021-12-31, the point confirming it held through the evaluation window.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression: Still on course

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin reclaimed its prior ~$20,000 all-time high in mid-December 2020 and traded far above it throughout 2021, setting new ATHs of ~$64k (Apr 2021) and ~$69k (10 Nov 2021).

    Evidence

  • Across all of 2021 Bitcoin's lowest price was ~$28,800 (the May–July 2021 drawdown) and it closed the year near $46,200 — it never fell back below the ~$20,000 prior ATH, i.e. it held that level as support.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will sustainably reach and hold its previous all-ti…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-06-24

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Evidence firstMethodology