Full record
25% rightmarketsThe total cryptocurrency market cap will peak just over $10 trillion around 2023
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightmarkets“I imagine this would take us out to you know 2023 sometime in that timeframe peaking I just over say 10 trillion dollars in market cap.”
The total cryptocurrency market cap will peak just over $10 trillion around 2023
- Made on
- 2020-05-16
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.04
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-12-31
Total crypto market capitalization peaks at just over $10 trillion around 2023.
Criterion = total crypto market cap peaks 'just over $10 trillion around 2023.' Actual peak through the 2023-12-31 deadline was ~$3T (Nov 2021); 2023 saw no new records. $10T was never reached — even the later Oct-2025 ATH of ~$4.27T is well below $10T. Clearly falsifiable and falsified by the deadline; outcome value left for scoring stage.
Sources
Total Cryptocurrency Marketcap Under/Overvaluation
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Total crypto market cap first peaked near $3 trillion at its November 2021 top — its highest level as of the deadline. It never approached $10 trillion. 2022 and 2023 set no new records; the market was in a bear/recovery phase through 2023, ending the year far below its 2021 high.
Total crypto market cap chart/history confirming the ~$3T Nov-2021 high and that the all-time high ($4.27T) was not set until October 6, 2025 — still less than half the predicted $10T, and after the deadline.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.04- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The total cryptocurrency market cap will peak just over $10…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-05-16
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources