Prediction record
25% outcomemarketsEthereum's speculative bubble will peak around $10,000 (±a few thousand) at its ~2023 cycle top
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomemarkets“That'll put the the speculative bubble in around ten thousand dollars per aetherium plus or minus a few thousand dollars.”
Ethereum's speculative bubble will peak around $10,000 (±a few thousand) at its ~2023 cycle top
- Made on
- 2020-05-12
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Ethereum's price reaches approximately $10,000 (five figures, ±a few thousand) at some point around its 2023 cycle peak.
Criterion requires ETH ≈ $10,000 (five figures, ±a few thousand) around a ~2023 cycle top. ETH's 2023 peak was ~$2,400 — far outside even the generous ±few-thousand band (lower bound ~$7k). Additionally the premise of a '2023 cycle top' is contradicted by ETH's actual cycle peak in Nov 2021 (~$4,891). Factual record is unambiguous; criterion not satisfied. Outcome value deferred to scoring.
Sources
Ethereum annual price contraction/expansion
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Ethereum's highest price during 2023 was roughly $2,400 (a new 2023 peak of ~$2,170 was set on 2023-12-02 per FXEmpire/Nasdaq, with ETH pushing toward ~$2,400 later in December on Bitcoin-ETF anticipation). This is ~75% below the ~$10,000 (five-figure) criterion.
Ethereum's all-time high was ~$4,891 set on 2021-11-16 — ETH has never reached five figures at any point, and its actual cycle top occurred in 2021, not 2023. The 2023 high (~$2.4k) is roughly one-quarter of the $10,000 target even before the 'cycle top ~2023' premise.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+0.84- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum's speculative bubble will peak around $10,000 (±a…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-05-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources