Prediction record
50% outcomecryptoEthereum reaches a five-figure price (roughly 900-1000% above its regression band) by 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
50% outcomecrypto“by 2023 I think it's gonna be overvalued we're gonna see a speculative bubble where aetherium is gonna be overvalued by about 900 to 1000 percent”
Ethereum reaches a five-figure price (roughly 900-1000% above its regression band) by 2023
- Made on
- 2020-05-23
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
ETH trades at a five-figure price (≥ $10,000) at some point by 2023-12-31.
Deadline (2023-12-31) passed without the price target ever being reached; resolution is definite. resolved_on set to the deadline date (window-close resolution). No conflicting credible evidence.
Sources
Ethereum on the launchpad?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Ethereum's all-time high through the 2023-12-31 deadline was ~$4,878 (set 2021-11-09/10). ETH never traded at or above $10,000 within the window; it did not surpass its 2021 ATH until August 2025 (~$4,954), still far below $10,000. Criterion (ETH ≥ $10,000 at some point by 2023-12-31) NOT satisfied; window closed.
Axios (Aug 2025) confirms ETH did not exceed its Nov-2021 high (~$4,878) until August 2025, corroborating that five figures ($10k) was never reached by end-2023.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto (ETH) price call → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary; 'crypto' missing.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Ethereum reaches a five-figure price (roughly 900-1000% abo…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-05-23
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources