Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoBitcoin's price will peak between roughly $100,000 and $200,000 during 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“somewhere between 100 and 200 thousand dollars out in 2023”
Bitcoin's price will peak between roughly $100,000 and $200,000 during 2023
- Made on
- 2020-05-08
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin's USD price reaches at least $100,000 (up to ~$200,000) at some point during calendar year 2023.
Observation window (calendar 2023) is fully closed. BTC 2023 peak ≈ $44,130 vs criterion floor of $100,000 — criterion clearly not satisfied. No conflicting credible evidence; assigning outcome value is deferred to the quantify/score stage.
Sources
Bitcoin: Logarithmic regression overload!
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's highest price during calendar 2023 was $44,129.56, reached on 2023-12-05 — far below the $100,000 floor of the written criterion. BTC spent the entire year between roughly $16,500 (Jan) and $44,100 (Dec) and never traded in five/six figures at the $100k+ level.
Forbes (2023-12-04) reports Bitcoin reaching $41,733 as its notable 2023 high-water rally level; year-end high peaked near $44k. Confirms BTC's 2023 peak was in the low-$40k range, an order of magnitude short of $100k–$200k.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price call: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary per the crypto-vs-markets rule; ['markets']-only omits the crypto sub-score entirely.
Score contribution
+2.04- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's price will peak between roughly $100,000 and $200…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-05-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources