Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoTotal crypto market cap peaks near $10 trillion around 2023
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“I think the next crypto market cap peak will be around 10 trillion plus or minus a few trillion what's a few try and one friends and I don't think it's going to happen until 2023 plus or minus 6 months or so”
Total crypto market cap peaks near $10 trillion around 2023
- Made on
- 2020-04-03
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-06-30
Total crypto market capitalization reaches ~$10 trillion (within a few trillion) at any point in the window
Criterion asks for ~$10T (within a few trillion) at any point in window. Highest total-market-cap print within the window was ~$3T (Nov 2021). The later ~$3.7T+ level only occurred in Dec 2024, AFTER the 2024-06-30 deadline. No point in-window approached $10T. (Total-market-cap figures are aggregator-derived, e.g. CoinMarketCap/CoinGecko, not an official statistical agency, but multiple independent outlets agree on the ~$3T peak.)
Sources
Bitcoin: Price hit the 100 week MA + Logo design contest winner!
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Total crypto market cap crossed $3 trillion for the FIRST time ever on Nov 9, 2021 — its all-time-high for the entire prediction window (2020-04-03 to 2024-06-30). It never came close to $10 trillion; the peak was ~$3T, a ~$7T shortfall well outside the 'within a few trillion' band.
Corroborating: CoinDesk reported total crypto market cap hit a then-record ~$2.7T on Oct 21, 2021, just before the ~$3T Nov peak — confirming the order of magnitude was ~$3T, not ~$10T.
Corrections
- tags: A crypto-market-cap price call takes crypto as primary; markets secondary.
Score contribution
+2.04- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Total crypto market cap peaks near $10 trillion around 2023- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-04-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources