Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Once Bitcoin reaches its previous all-time high, Cardano continues to gain against Bitcoin (ADA/BTC rises).

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

so I would I would just hope to see steady gains in in a de with respect to Bitcoin if Bitcoin reaches the 20 week moving average I would expect a de to can't content in to continue gaining on Bitcoin if Bitcoin reaches its previous all-time high that is when coins historically have performed very well

Once Bitcoin reaches its previous all-time high, Cardano continues to gain against Bitcoin (ADA/BTC rises).

Made on
2020-04-25
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2021-09-02

After Bitcoin reaches its previous all-time high, the ADA/BTC exchange rate rises above its level at the time BTC reclaimed that high, within the window.

After BTC reclaimed its previous ATH (Dec 16, 2020), the ADA/BTC exchange rate rose well above its level at that moment, peaking in Aug-Sep 2021 at multiples of the reclaim-date ratio — satisfying the written criterion (ADA/BTC rises within the 2020-04-25 to 2023-04-25 window). resolved_on set to the ADA/BTC peak date (2021-09-02); the condition was actually satisfied earlier (ADA/BTC exceeded its Dec-2020 level within weeks in early 2021). No outcome value assigned; scoring deferred.

Sources

  • Cardano: Front-running the market after the Mainnet wallet launch

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Trigger event: Bitcoin reclaimed and surpassed its previous 2017 all-time high on Dec 16, 2020, breaking above $20,000 for the first time (intraday ~$20,696). This is the 'BTC reaches its previous all-time high' anchor point for the ADA/BTC baseline.

    Evidence

  • Baseline: at the ATH-reclaim (Dec 16, 2020) ADA traded ~$0.15 while BTC was ~$20,700, giving ADA/BTC ≈ 0.0000073 BTC (~730 sats).

    Evidence

  • Consequent met: within the window ADA/BTC rose far above its Dec-2020 baseline, reaching a peak of ~0.00004159 BTC on Sep 2, 2021 (~4,159 sats) per CoinMarketCap — roughly a 5-6x increase over the ~730-sat reclaim-date level. (CoinGecko reports an even higher all-time ADA/BTC of ~0.00007382.)

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Scoreable ADA/BTC call: 'crypto' primary (drives per-tag sub-scores) + 'markets' secondary.
  • Quote wording: Restore verbatim to match the fetched primary transcript; the stored version duplicated 'expect...continue gaining' onto the 20-week clause. Scored all-time-high clause unchanged.

Score contribution

+1.84
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Once Bitcoin reaches its previous all-time high, Cardano co…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-04-25

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