Prediction record
HitcryptoIf Bitcoin begins closing weekly candles above its 100-week moving average, Bitcoin's price rises to its 20-week moving average.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“if we get above the 100 week moving average then on the weekly time frame so if we start closing candles above the 100 weekly then the next obvious target just like it was here and here is getting to the 20 week moving average”
If Bitcoin begins closing weekly candles above its 100-week moving average, Bitcoin's price rises to its 20-week moving average.
- Made on
- 2020-04-17
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-08-01
After BTC closes weekly candles above its 100-week MA, BTC's price rises to touch or exceed its 20-week moving average within the window.
Deadline passed. Conditional/technical-analysis claim; primary sources are price-history series (per-candle 20-week/100-week MA levels are derived, not published by an official agency). The antecedent (weekly closes above the 100W MA) triggered in 2020 and the consequent (price touching/exceeding the 20W MA) was satisfied trivially and repeatedly during the 2020-2021 bull run, when BTC rose ~10x and traded well above its 20-week MA. resolved_on is APPROXIMATE (~mid-2020, when BTC decisively cleared these averages during the July-Aug 2020 rally to ~$12k); the outcome does not depend on the exact date. Later stage may recompute exact MA-cross dates from weekly OHLC if a precise resolved_on is required.
Sources
Bitcoin: Price at a critical level
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Antecedent satisfied: after the March-2020 COVID crash to ~$3.8k, BTC recovered and its weekly candles reclaimed/closed above the 100-week MA during spring-summer 2020 (BTC ~$9-11k by mid-2020, well above the ~$6-8k 100W MA of that period).
Consequent satisfied and then some: from ~$7,000 in April 2020, BTC rose to ~$69,000 by Nov 2021, trading far above its 20-week MA for essentially the entire run - the price touched and vastly exceeded the (much lower, slower-moving) 20-week MA well within the 2020-04-17 to 2023-04-17 window.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin-specific TA claim; 'crypto' fits and matches siblings.
Score contribution
+1.91- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
If Bitcoin begins closing weekly candles above its 100-week…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-04-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources