Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin is significantly higher by 2022-2024 than in April 2020

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

if you can do that then come 2022, 2023, maybe even 2024 you're going to be sitting pretty and and you're going to have the the luxury to sell Bitcoin likely um at a much higher price

Bitcoin is significantly higher by 2022-2024 than in April 2020

Made on
2020-04-06
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2022-01-01

BTC trades materially above its April 2020 level (>=50% higher, i.e. above ~$10,500) at some point during 2022-2024

Criterion (BTC materially above April-2020 level, >=50% higher / above ~$10,500, at some point in 2022-2024) is satisfied continuously from the start of the window; BTC never traded below ~$15,000 during 2022-2024, always well above the ~$10,500 bar.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Risk and Price Analysis

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • April 2020 BTC was ~$6,800-7,300, so the ~$10,500 threshold (>=50% higher) is cleared by a wide margin throughout 2022-2024: BTC entered 2022 near ~$47,000, and even the deep 2022 bear-market low (~$16,000, Nov 2022) was ~2.3x the April-2020 level.

    Evidence

  • BTC went on to set new records in the window — ~$69k+ (March 2024) and crossing $100,000 for the first time in December 2024 — all far above ~$10,500.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Claim is entirely about Bitcoin's future price; 'crypto' is the on-subject primary tag for the per-tag sub-score.

Score contribution

+2.76
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin is significantly higher by 2022-2024 than in April…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-04-06

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Evidence firstMethodology