Prediction record
HitcryptoIf the crypto market has another blow-off top within 3-4 years, Cardano will have risen dramatically from its ~2-cent level.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“if if the cryptocurrency market does go through another blow off top there's gonna be the dumb money coming in”
If the crypto market has another blow-off top within 3-4 years, Cardano will have risen dramatically from its ~2-cent level.
- Made on
- 2020-03-18
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-09-02
At/by the next blow-off top within ~4 years, ADA price is dramatically above ~2 cents (multiples higher).
Criterion (at/by the next blow-off top within ~4 years, ADA dramatically above ~2 cents) is satisfied: a blow-off top did occur (2021 cycle) and ADA reached ~$3.10, ~150x above the ~2-cent March-2020 level. The conditional antecedent ('if the crypto market has another blow-off top') held. resolved_on set to the ADA ATH date (2021-09-02). No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Cardano and the current conditions of cryptocurrency
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The next crypto-market blow-off top occurred in the 2021 bull cycle. Cardano (ADA) reached its all-time high of ~$3.09–$3.10 on 2 September 2021, up from its ~$0.02 (2-cent) level of March 2020 — roughly a 150x rise, dramatically above the ~2-cent baseline, well within the ~4-year (by 2024-03-18) window.
Corroboration: ADA rose from ~$0.175 at the start of 2021, surged ~116% around the September 2021 Alonzo smart-contract hard fork to its >$3 peak, part of the broad late-2021 (Sept–Nov 2021) crypto blow-off top.
Corrections
- conditional condition met: The antecedent (another blow-off top within 3-4 years) objectively occurred in the 2021 cycle, consistent with the record's own resolved status and evidence.
- tags: Claim is about Cardano/crypto in a crypto blow-off top; 'crypto' is the more central subject-fitting tag.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
If the crypto market has another blow-off top within 3-4 ye…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-03-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources