Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin's next bull cycle peaks in 2022 or 2023, not 2021.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“I think it's more likely to be 2022 or 2023”
Bitcoin's next bull cycle peaks in 2022 or 2023, not 2021.
- Made on
- 2020-03-09
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin's cycle all-time-high for this cycle occurs in calendar year 2022 or 2023 (not 2021 and not 2024+).
Criterion required the cycle ATH to fall in calendar year 2022 or 2023. The actual cycle peak occurred in 2021 (Nov 10, 2021, ~$69k), and BTC never surpassed it through the 2023-12-31 deadline. The prediction that the peak would be 2022/2023 'not 2021' did not hold — the peak was in 2021.
Sources
Bitcoin: Falling below the 20 week MA
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin set its cycle all-time high of ~$68,982 on November 10, 2021. This 2021 high was the peak of that bull cycle.
Bitcoin did not exceed its Nov 2021 record at any point in 2022 or 2023 (falling to ~$16k in late 2022); the next all-time high did not occur until March 2024. Confirms no new cycle ATH landed in 2022 or 2023.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price-cycle peak call → crypto primary + markets secondary per dictionary.
Score contribution
+0.46- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's next bull cycle peaks in 2022 or 2023, not 2021.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-03-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources