Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will form a golden cross (50-day MA crosses above 200-day MA) within the next few days from February 16, 2020

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

we have this Golden Cross coming up in the next few days

Bitcoin will form a golden cross (50-day MA crosses above 200-day MA) within the next few days from February 16, 2020

Made on
2020-02-16
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.91

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-02-18

BTC's 50-day SMA crosses above its 200-day SMA by early March 2020

Golden cross formed ~Feb 18–19, 2020, inside the Feb 16–Mar 2 window; the ~1-day source ambiguity does not affect resolution since both candidate dates are within the window. Criterion is about MA crossover timing only, not subsequent price action (BTC crashed below $4k weeks later in the COVID selloff).

Sources

  • Bitcoin: The golden cross

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's daily golden cross (50-day MA crossing above 200-day MA) occurred February 18, 2020, with BTC trading near $9,949 — within the Feb 16–Mar 2, 2020 criterion window. (One source dates it Feb 19; either date falls inside the window.)

    Evidence

  • CoinDesk (Feb 14, 2020) reported BTC was 'closing on' a daily golden cross, with the 50-day and 200-day MAs about to cross, confirming the cross was imminent days before the deadline.

    Evidence

  • Bitbo 50/200-day MA golden-cross chart lists a February 2020 golden-cross event (the signal was subsequently invalidated by the mid-March 2020 COVID crash, but the crossover itself formed in mid-February).

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin price/technical call → crypto primary, markets secondary per dictionary boundary rule.

Score contribution

+1.91
Confidence
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.91

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will form a golden cross (50-day MA crosses above 2…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-02-16

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Evidence firstMethodology