Prediction record
75% outcomecryptoBitcoin will reach six figures ($100,000 or more) within two to three years (by roughly early 2023)
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
75% outcomecrypto“we are you know going to be pushing up to a six-figure Bitcoin over the next say two to three years”
Bitcoin will reach six figures ($100,000 or more) within two to three years (by roughly early 2023)
- Made on
- 2020-02-09
- Outcome
- 75% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.94
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-02-28
BTC trades at or above $100,000 at some point on or before ~early 2023
Criterion ('BTC trades at/above $100,000 on/before ~early 2023') NOT met within the window: BTC peaked ~$25k by end of Feb 2023 and did not reach $100k until Dec 2024. Window closed 2023-02-28 without the target being hit.
Sources
Bitcoin: Logarithmic regression price analysis
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's February 2023 high was ~$25,134 (on Feb 16, 2023), with a monthly average close of ~$23,305 — roughly 75% short of $100,000. BTC did not reach $100k at any point on/before the ~early-2023 (2023-02-28) deadline.
Bitcoin first crossed $100,000 for the first time ever on December 4–5, 2024 (reaching ~$103,679) — nearly two years AFTER this record's ~early-2023 deadline.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto price bet: dictionary mandates 'crypto' primary + 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.94- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- 75% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.94
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will reach six figures ($100,000 or more) within tw…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-02-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources