Full record

Missmarkets

Bitcoin will not reach $20,000 in 2020.

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcemarkets

Scored prediction

Missmarkets

“Bitcoin even following that cycle still might not hit twenty thousand dollars this year.”

Bitcoin will not reach $20,000 in 2020.

Made on
2020-01-01
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
+1.18

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2020-12-16

BTC spot price does not reach >= $20,000 at any point during calendar 2020.

Criterion: BTC does not reach >= $20,000 at any point during calendar 2020. BTC crossed $20,000 on Dec 16, 2020 (~$21,310), so the threshold was reached — the prediction is contradicted. resolved_on set to 2020-12-16, the date the $20k threshold was crossed.

Sources

  • My cryptocurrency strategy for 2020

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Bitcoin broke above $20,000 for the first time in history on Dec 16, 2020, closing ~$21,310 — the $20k threshold WAS reached during calendar 2020.

    Evidence

  • Independent coverage confirms BTC passed $20,000 and set an all-time high on Dec 16, 2020.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+1.18
How sure they sounded
55%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin will not reach $20,000 in 2020.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2020-01-01

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

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