Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin will not reach six figures ($100,000+) in 2020 or 2021.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“I don't think we're gonna be shooting up to six figures in 2020 I don't think we're gonna be getting to six figures and in 2021 either”
Bitcoin will not reach six figures ($100,000+) in 2020 or 2021.
- Made on
- 2020-01-11
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-31
BTC spot price does not reach >= $100,000 at any point through 2021-12-31.
Criterion ('BTC spot price does not reach >= $100,000 at any point through 2021-12-31') is satisfied. Peak spot price in the 2020-2021 window was ~$69,000 (Nov 10, 2021), roughly 31% below the $100k threshold. Bitcoin first reached $100,000 in December 2024, well after the deadline. No conflicting credible evidence — the ~$69k 2021 all-time high is uncontested across sources. resolved_on set to the deadline date since the criterion is a not-reached-by threshold that could only be finally confirmed at period close.
Sources
Bitcoin: A different way of looking at price data
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's all-time high during 2020-2021 was reached on November 10, 2021, at approximately $68,982-$69,000 (nominal record ~$69,225 on Coinbase intraday). This was the peak for the entire 2020-2021 period; BTC never traded at or above $100,000 at any point through 2021-12-31.
Confirmation that the November 2021 high of ~$69,000 stood as Bitcoin's all-time high for more than two years; BTC did not surpass it (still below $70k, far below $100k) until March 2024, and first crossed $100,000 only in December 2024. This confirms BTC never hit six figures in 2020 or 2021.
Corrections
- tags: Claim is about Bitcoin's price level; dictionary assigns cryptocurrency price/level claims to 'crypto' (its example is literally 'Bitcoin to $100k').
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will not reach six figures ($100,000+) in 2020 or 2…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-01-11
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources