Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will not reach six figures ($100,000+) in 2020 or 2021.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

I don't think we're gonna be shooting up to six figures in 2020 I don't think we're gonna be getting to six figures and in 2021 either

Bitcoin will not reach six figures ($100,000+) in 2020 or 2021.

Made on
2020-01-11
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2021-12-31

BTC spot price does not reach >= $100,000 at any point through 2021-12-31.

Criterion ('BTC spot price does not reach >= $100,000 at any point through 2021-12-31') is satisfied. Peak spot price in the 2020-2021 window was ~$69,000 (Nov 10, 2021), roughly 31% below the $100k threshold. Bitcoin first reached $100,000 in December 2024, well after the deadline. No conflicting credible evidence — the ~$69k 2021 all-time high is uncontested across sources. resolved_on set to the deadline date since the criterion is a not-reached-by threshold that could only be finally confirmed at period close.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: A different way of looking at price data

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's all-time high during 2020-2021 was reached on November 10, 2021, at approximately $68,982-$69,000 (nominal record ~$69,225 on Coinbase intraday). This was the peak for the entire 2020-2021 period; BTC never traded at or above $100,000 at any point through 2021-12-31.

    Evidence

  • Confirmation that the November 2021 high of ~$69,000 stood as Bitcoin's all-time high for more than two years; BTC did not surpass it (still below $70k, far below $100k) until March 2024, and first crossed $100,000 only in December 2024. This confirms BTC never hit six figures in 2020 or 2021.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Claim is about Bitcoin's price level; dictionary assigns cryptocurrency price/level claims to 'crypto' (its example is literally 'Bitcoin to $100k').

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will not reach six figures ($100,000+) in 2020 or 2…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-01-11

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Evidence firstMethodology