Prediction record
HitmarketsThe next crypto/Bitcoin bull market will not begin before 2020.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“the next the next pole market isn't until at least 2020 -”
The next crypto/Bitcoin bull market will not begin before 2020.
- Made on
- 2019-12-10
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-01-01
No new sustained crypto bull market begins before 2020-01-01.
Some interpretive ambiguity: one could argue a recovery began off the Dec-2018 (~$3,200) bottom, and BTC did nearly double into June 2019. But the criterion requires a 'sustained' bull market, and the June-2019 spike retraced ~50% and made no new cycle high — so the sustained bull market began in 2020, not before. Both sides noted; leaning resolved, outcome assignment deferred to scoring.
Sources
Ethereum: Risk management with buying and selling
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
In 2019 Bitcoin rallied to a yearly high near $13,800 in June but was not sustained: it fell ~50% off that high and closed the year at ~$7,184. No new sustained bull market began before 2020-01-01; the sustained uptrend began after the May 2020 halving.
The 2020-2021 bull run is dated to 2020 (post-halving), driving BTC from ~$8,000 in early 2020 to a new ATH — placing the start of the sustained bull market after, not before, 2020-01-01.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.76- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.76
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
The next crypto/Bitcoin bull market will not begin before 2…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2019-12-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources