Full record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will NOT reach $1,000,000 by the end of 2020.

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcecryptomarkets

Scored prediction

Hitcrypto

saying we're gonna hit 1 million by 2020 or something it's just absolutely not gonna happen

Bitcoin will NOT reach $1,000,000 by the end of 2020.

Made on
2019-12-31
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+2

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2020-12-31

BTC spot price does not reach >= $1,000,000 at any point through 2020-12-31.

Criterion: BTC does not reach >= $1,000,000 at any point through 2020-12-31. The 2020 peak was ~$29k, far below $1M; criterion satisfied. Prediction holds. resolved_on at deadline 2020-12-31 since resolution is the non-occurrence of the threshold over the window.

Sources

  • When can Bitcoin realistically reach $1 Million?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Bitcoin's 2020 high was ~$20,000–$29,000 (first crossed $20k on Dec 16, 2020 at ~$21,310), roughly two orders of magnitude below $1,000,000 — BTC never approached $1M in 2020.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin price bet → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.

Effect on the score

+2
How sure they sounded
97%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin will NOT reach $1,000,000 by the end of 2020.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2019-12-31

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

Every public score traces back to sourced prediction records.

Avow is an independent project. The pundits scored here are not affiliated with Avow and do not endorse it. Names and likenesses are used for identification and commentary.

Evidence firstMethodologyPrivacy