Full record

Hitmarkets

Bitcoin will not peak at six figures (≥$100,000) at any point during 2021.

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcemarkets

Scored prediction

Hitmarkets

I don't think Bitcoin is gonna be peaking at any point during 2021

Bitcoin will not peak at six figures (≥$100,000) at any point during 2021.

Made on
2019-12-18
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
+2.27

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2021-12-31

Bitcoin's price does not reach or exceed $100,000 at any point during calendar year 2021.

Criterion met: 2021 peak was ~$69k, well below $100,000.

Sources

  • Bitcoin risk analysis using machine learning

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Bitcoin's highest price at any point during 2021 was its 2021-11-10 all-time high of ~$68,789-$69,225. It never reached or exceeded $100,000 during calendar year 2021.

    Evidence

  • Bloomberg notes the November 2021 high (~$69k) was Bitcoin's record until March 2024, confirming no higher print (and thus no six-figure print) occurred in 2021.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+2.27
How sure they sounded
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin will not peak at six figures (≥$100,000) at any poi…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2019-12-18

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

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