Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin will begin a new bull run within the next few years (by roughly the end of 2022).
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“Bitcoin will be going on a bull run in the next few years”
Bitcoin will begin a new bull run within the next few years (by roughly the end of 2022).
- Made on
- 2019-12-14
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-12-16
Bitcoin enters a sustained bull run (a new uptrend making a higher cycle high) before 2022-12-14.
Criterion clearly met: a sustained bull run making a new higher cycle high occurred (began 2020, new ATH broken Dec 2020, peaked Nov 2021) before 2022-12-14.
Sources
Bitcoin: Time needed to see various levels of return on your investment
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
A sustained bull run began after the May 2020 halving, taking Bitcoin from ~$8,000 in early 2020 to a new higher cycle high — it surpassed the prior ~$19,800 (2017) all-time high in mid-December 2020 and closed 2020 near $29,000, then ran to ~$69,000 in Nov 2021, all before the 2022-12-14 deadline.
Bitcoin reached a new all-time high above $68,000 in November 2021, confirming a sustained uptrend that made a higher cycle high well within the 'next few years' window.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin-subject claim: crypto-vs-markets rule requires 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary for market-timing track.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will begin a new bull run within the next few years…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2019-12-14
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources