Full record
HitcryptoEthereum will not come close to $46,000 during the next bull run.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“i don't think ethereum is gonna even come close to hitting 46 grand in the next bulls bull run”
Ethereum will not come close to $46,000 during the next bull run.
- Made on
- 2019-11-15
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-11-15
Ethereum's price does NOT come close to $46,000 (stays well below, e.g. <$20,000) at the peak of the next bull run.
Criterion is that ETH does NOT come close to $46,000 (stays well below, e.g. <$20,000) at the peak of the next bull run. Peak was ~$4,878 (Nov 2021), far under the $20,000 threshold. No outcome value assigned per stage instructions.
Sources
Ethereum price prediction based on logarithmic regression
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Ethereum's all-time high during the 2020-2021 bull run (the 'next bull run' relative to the Nov-2019 statement) was approximately $4,878, reached on 2021-11-10. This is well below $20,000 and roughly 1/9th of $46,000 — ETH never came close to $46,000. The Nov-2021 ATH stood unbroken until August 2025, so no bull run through the 2022-11-15 deadline approached $46,000.
Contemporaneous reporting confirms ETH's 2021 cycle peak near $4,900 (crossed $4,800-$4,900 in early-mid November 2021), never nearing five-figure or $46K levels.
Corrections
- Quote wording: Restore the pundit's actual transcript wording; the stored verbatim re-sequenced 'I don't think X is gonna even come close' into 'X is gonna not come close', which is not what he said. Verbatim change logged as a correction.
- tags: ETH price claim fits the dedicated 'crypto' tag.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Ethereum will not come close to $46,000 during the next bul…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2019-11-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources