Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Ethereum will not come close to $46,000 during the next bull run.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecrypto

Scored record

Hitcrypto

i don't think ethereum is gonna even come close to hitting 46 grand in the next bulls bull run

Ethereum will not come close to $46,000 during the next bull run.

Made on
2019-11-15
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2022-11-15

Ethereum's price does NOT come close to $46,000 (stays well below, e.g. <$20,000) at the peak of the next bull run.

Criterion is that ETH does NOT come close to $46,000 (stays well below, e.g. <$20,000) at the peak of the next bull run. Peak was ~$4,878 (Nov 2021), far under the $20,000 threshold. No outcome value assigned per stage instructions.

Sources

  • Ethereum price prediction based on logarithmic regression

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Ethereum's all-time high during the 2020-2021 bull run (the 'next bull run' relative to the Nov-2019 statement) was approximately $4,878, reached on 2021-11-10. This is well below $20,000 and roughly 1/9th of $46,000 — ETH never came close to $46,000. The Nov-2021 ATH stood unbroken until August 2025, so no bull run through the 2022-11-15 deadline approached $46,000.

    Evidence

  • Contemporaneous reporting confirms ETH's 2021 cycle peak near $4,900 (crossed $4,800-$4,900 in early-mid November 2021), never nearing five-figure or $46K levels.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • Quote wording: Restore the pundit's actual transcript wording; the stored verbatim re-sequenced 'I don't think X is gonna even come close' into 'X is gonna not come close', which is not what he said. Verbatim change logged as a correction.
  • tags: ETH price claim fits the dedicated 'crypto' tag.

Score contribution

+2.27
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.27

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Ethereum will not come close to $46,000 during the next bul…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2019-11-15

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Evidence firstMethodology