Full record
50% rightcryptoEthereum's bear-market bottom will be a low around $822 in late 2022 / early 2023.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
50% rightcrypto“Low of eight hundred and twenty two dollars... end of twenty twenty two early twenty twenty three.”
Ethereum's bear-market bottom will be a low around $822 in late 2022 / early 2023.
- Made on
- 2019-11-15
- Outcome
- 50% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-03-31
Ethereum's bear-market low reaches approximately $822 (±20%) during late 2022 / early 2023.
Criterion (ETH low ≈ $822 ±20% during late 2022 / early 2023) NOT met — the window low was ~$1,075, above the ~$986 ceiling. Both sides noted: the price magnitude (~$822±20%) was hit in June 2022 but the timing/window (late 2022–early 2023) was not, so the record as written does not resolve to the target. resolved_on set to the deadline (window fully elapsed).
Sources
Ethereum price prediction based on logarithmic regression
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
During the specified window (late 2022 / early 2023), Ethereum's low was approximately $1,070–$1,081 around 2022-11-09 to 2022-11-21 (FTX collapse), and ETH did not break below ~$1,000 in Nov 2022–Mar 2023 before rallying above $1,600 in Q1 2023. The ~$822 (±20% band = ~$658–$986) target was NOT reached in this window; the actual window low (~$1,075) sits ~9% above the upper bound of the tolerance band.
Note on timing: Ethereum's broader 2022 cycle low was ~$881–$995 in June 2022 (Terra/3AC deleveraging), which WOULD fall inside the ~$822±20% band — but June 2022 is outside the criterion's specified 'late 2022 / early 2023' window, so it does not satisfy the written criterion.
Corrections
- conditional condition met: The four-year market cycle continued (2022 ETH bear market), so the antecedent objectively occurred and the record properly scores on the ~$822 bottom, which was not reached in-window.
- tags: ETH-specific price/bottom claim fits the dedicated 'crypto' tag.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- 50% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Ethereum's bear-market bottom will be a low around $822 in…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2019-11-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources