Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin will not make a parabolic run to six figures before summer 2020; that move comes only after the 2020 halving.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“I don't really think that we're gonna see this you know true parabolic run-up to potentially six figures until we get past next summer”
Bitcoin will not make a parabolic run to six figures before summer 2020; that move comes only after the 2020 halving.
- Made on
- 2019-11-14
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-06-30
Bitcoin's price does NOT reach six figures (≥$100,000) at any point before 2020-06-30.
Criterion (BTC does NOT reach ≥$100,000 at any point before 2020-06-30) HELD TRUE — the six-figure level was never approached in the window. resolved_on set to the deadline, when the negative condition had held for the full period.
Sources
Bitcoin price prediction based on logarithmic regression
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin closed June 2020 at $9,137.99 (2020-06-30) and traded in a roughly $3,800–$10,500 range across the entire Nov 2019–Jun 2020 period. It came nowhere near $100,000 (six figures) at any point before 2020-06-30; BTC did not reach $100k until December 2024.
Corrections
- Quote wording: Verbatim must be the pundit's actual words; transcript shows 'I don't really think that we're gonna see', not the reconstructed 'we're not gonna see' (double-negative laundered into a plain negation).
- tags: BTC price bet → 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will not make a parabolic run to six figures before…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2019-11-14
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources