Full record
75% rightcryptoBitcoin reaches at least $100,000 (six figures, ~$120k target) in the next bull run
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
75% rightcrypto“a 40 X roi from the bottom so the bottom being 3140 X from there would put us at around 120 case”
Bitcoin reaches at least $100,000 (six figures, ~$120k target) in the next bull run
- Made on
- 2019-11-26
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- +3.92
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-11-26
Bitcoin's price reaches or exceeds $100,000 at any point within the window
Criterion is BTC reaching ≥$100,000 at any point within window 2019-11-26→2022-11-26. The 'next bull run' Cowen referenced did occur and peaked at ~$69k (Nov 2021), roughly 31% below the six-figure target and ~42% below the stated ~$120k target. Bitcoin's actual first close/print above $100k came in December 2024, well outside the window. Peak-price fact is uncontested across multiple reputable outlets, so status is resolved with no conflicting evidence. resolved_on set to window-close (deadline) date, the point at which the 'at any point within the window' criterion became definitively unmet. Outcome value not assigned per stage scope.
Sources
Bitcoin: Overlaying the ROI from each market cycle bottom
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's all-time high during the prediction window was approximately $68,982–$69,000, set on November 10, 2021. This 2021 peak stood as Bitcoin's record high until March 2024 — meaning Bitcoin never reached or exceeded $100,000 at any point within the 2019-11-26 to 2022-11-26 window.
Bitcoin flirted with $69,000 on November 10, 2021, hitting ~$68,991 intraday — its cyclical bull-run peak. No credible source records any BTC print at or above $100,000 during the window; the six-figure threshold was not crossed until December 2024, over two years after the deadline.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price prediction; 'crypto' is the most-central controlled tag and should be primary.
Effect on the score
+3.92- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin reaches at least $100,000 (six figures, ~$120k targ…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2019-11-26
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources