Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin trades below $50,000 during the weekend of September 7-8, 2024.
A scored prediction by Arthur Hayes, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“$BTC is heavy, I'm gunning for sub $50k this weekend. I took a cheeky short. Pray for my soul, for I am a degen.”
Bitcoin trades below $50,000 during the weekend of September 7-8, 2024.
- Made on
- 2024-09-06
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.89
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-09-08
Bitcoin's spot price prints below $50,000 at any point during the weekend of 2024-09-07 to 2024-09-08.
Criterion: BTC spot prints below $50,000 at ANY point during the weekend of 2024-09-07 to 2024-09-08. Across both days BTC's lowest observed print was ~$53,749 (Sat) / ~$54,517 (Sun) — it never approached, let alone breached, $50,000. Clear miss. Prices are consistent across StatMuse daily/hourly data and contemporaneous news; no conflicting credible evidence. resolved_on set to the last day of the resolution window (2024-09-08).
Sources
'$BTC is heavy, I'm gunning for sub $50k this weekend...'
X (@CryptoHayes) ·
Crypto in 'extreme fear' as Arthur Hayes tips 'sub $50K' Bitcoin weekend
Cointelegraph ·
Arthur Hayes does turnaround on Bitcoin with short and $50,000 target
DL News ·
We check the accuracy of 20 Arthur Hayes market calls
Protos ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin OHLC for Saturday 2024-09-07 (per StatMuse daily/hourly data): open $53,935, high $54,041, low $53,882 (daily), with an intraday hourly low of ~$53,749 around 01:00. The price stayed comfortably above $50,000 all day.
Bitcoin OHLC for Sunday 2024-09-08 (per StatMuse): open $54,537, high $54,803, low $54,517, close $54,744 (up 1.1% on the day). Intraday low ~$54,517 — never below $50,000.
Contemporaneous reporting of Hayes's own call (made 2024-09-06) notes BTC was trading ~$55,838-$56,585 heading into the weekend, having only reached a low of ~$55,838; it did not break $50,000 that weekend. The month's later low (~$52,546) also stayed above $50,000.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
-0.89- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin trades below $50,000 during the weekend of Septembe…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-09-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources