Full record
HitcryptoMultiple Maelstrom portfolio companies launch their tokens during 2024, each accompanied by a points program.
A scored prediction by Arthur Hayes, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“Many of Maelstrom's portfolio companies will launch their tokens in 2024, and you can expect to learn about points programs, which all share a goal of generating usage of their protocols.”
Multiple Maelstrom portfolio companies launch their tokens during 2024, each accompanied by a points program.
- Made on
- 2024-02-08
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.91
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-12-31
Several Maelstrom portfolio companies launch tokens during calendar 2024 with accompanying points programs.
At least two Maelstrom portfolio companies launched tokens during calendar 2024, each with an accompanying points program: ether.fi (ETHFI, Mar 18 2024, loyalty/membership points) and Ethena (ENA, Apr 2 2024, shards/sats points campaign). This satisfies 'multiple.' Whether 'several' (some readings imply 3+) is met is a judgment for scoring; I did not exhaustively confirm a third. Ethena's exact classification as a 'portfolio company' vs 'advisory holding' is a minor nuance — Maelstrom/Hayes is an investor and founding advisor and received ENA; ether.fi is listed directly in Maelstrom's portfolio.
Sources
Points Guard
Substack ·
Evidence of what happened
Ethena (Maelstrom portfolio/advisory holding — Hayes a founding advisor via Maelstrom, received ENA) launched its ENA token on April 2, 2024, following the 'shards' points campaign (Feb 19–Apr 1, 2024) and immediately kicking off the Season 2 'Sats Campaign' points program.
ether.fi (named Maelstrom portfolio company) launched its ETHFI governance token on March 18, 2024 (airdrop + Binance Launchpool), with distribution driven by its loyalty/membership points program.
ether.fi loyalty-points program documentation confirming points convert into the token airdrop — the 'accompanying points program' element of the criterion.
Ethena shard (points) campaign documentation confirming the points-farming mechanism preceding the ENA airdrop.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.91- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Multiple Maelstrom portfolio companies launch their tokens…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2024-02-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources