Full record
MisscryptoEthereum trades above $10,000 by the end of 2022.
A scored prediction by Arthur Hayes, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“When the dust settles at year-end, I believe ETH will be trading north of $10,000.”
Ethereum trades above $10,000 by the end of 2022.
- Made on
- 2022-03-31
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.46
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-12-31
Ethereum's USD price is above $10,000 at 2022-12-31 (year-end).
Criterion (ETH USD price above $10,000 at 2022-12-31) was NOT satisfied — ETH closed at ~$1,196.77. Prediction failed by a wide margin. No outcome value assigned per instructions.
Sources
Evidence of what happened
CoinMarketCap historical snapshot for December 31, 2022: Ethereum (ETH) price was $1,196.77 — far below the $10,000 threshold. ETH did not trade anywhere near $10,000 at any point in 2022 (2022 high was well under $4,000).
Search-confirmed year-end 2022 ETH close cited as ~$1,196-$1,203 (e.g. $1,203.21); U.Today Dec 31 2022 analysis noted ETH trading near $1,199. All sources agree ETH was ~$1,200 at year-end, roughly 88% below the $10,000 target.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+0.46- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Ethereum trades above $10,000 by the end of 2022.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2022-03-31
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources