Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin reaches $20,000 by 2020-12-31.
A scored prediction by Arthur Hayes, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“My end of 2020 price target remains $20,000.”
Bitcoin reaches $20,000 by 2020-12-31.
- Made on
- 2020-04-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-12-16
Bitcoin's USD price reaches or exceeds $20,000 on or before 2020-12-31.
Criterion (BTC USD price reaches or exceeds $20,000 on or before 2020-12-31) is clearly SATISFIED. BTC first crossed $20,000 on 2020-12-16 (resolved_on set to that first-crossing date) and continued to ~$29,080 by year-end. Unambiguous; no conflicting evidence.
Sources
Evidence of what happened
CNBC: 'Bitcoin breaks above $20,000 for the first time ever' on Wednesday, December 16, 2020, trading around $20,600 — the first time BTC crossed the $20,000 threshold.
Bloomberg: Bitcoin surged above $29,000 on Dec 31, 2020 to another record high, ending 2020 well above the $20,000 mark; close ~$29,080 on Dec 31 2020.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin reaches $20,000 by 2020-12-31.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-04-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources